Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 6.833165 7.718880 8.690835 9.839035 11.161503 12.640583 14.425175
2024-12-15 5.559707 6.724205 8.104356 9.870200 12.082965 14.781579 18.348608
2024-12-22 4.702021 5.984447 7.595065 9.785602 12.716686 16.544915 21.991742
2024-12-29 4.291431 5.699809 7.557023 10.218037 13.986381 19.212842 27.153273
2025-01-05 3.836174 5.276268 7.253163 10.211301 14.605398 21.020067 31.334782
2025-01-12 3.450910 4.891720 6.939760 10.123107 15.055820 22.594164 35.354654
2025-01-19 2.995736 4.352216 6.336196 9.518254 14.625421 22.736323 37.078052
2025-01-26 2.776328 4.134684 6.179605 9.565985 15.200964 24.513749 41.749715
2025-02-02 2.651565 4.045482 6.204080 9.893219 16.256291 27.200664 48.414857
2025-02-09 2.511872 3.917295 6.150423 10.078867 17.083025 29.586323 54.899857
2025-02-16 2.377287 3.783459 6.071838 10.207809 17.815801 31.884820 61.581079
2025-02-23 2.252332 3.653387 5.985209 10.308758 18.501440 34.172674 68.612104
2025-03-02 2.074095 3.422563 5.712995 10.059839 18.523955 35.227788 73.341843
2025-03-09 1.944757 3.265273 5.554909 10.004462 18.913461 37.070300 80.150515
2025-03-16 1.820548 3.106566 5.379763 9.896921 19.182857 38.696759 86.767281
2025-03-23 1.783163 3.099612 5.478630 10.329218 20.610477 43.004141 100.666765
2025-03-30 1.690290 2.983400 5.363401 10.320961 21.101668 45.303317 110.014945
2025-04-06 1.595525 2.856219 5.216282 10.231340 21.402031 47.203577 118.709724
2025-04-13 1.447708 2.618199 4.836493 9.619123 20.460418 46.029990 118.794770
2025-04-20 1.386625 2.542518 4.769853 9.667404 21.037666 48.634201 130.091293
2025-04-27 1.359888 2.531552 4.831012 9.998562 22.319139 53.197862 148.189296
2025-05-04 1.319762 2.490936 4.828143 10.186445 23.278784 57.083303 165.175654
2025-05-11 1.276537 2.440878 4.801446 10.316944 24.112486 60.766363 182.445809